Legislature(2021 - 2022)GRUENBERG 120

04/13/2022 01:00 PM House JUDICIARY

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* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
-- Delayed to 1:30 pm --
+ Presentation: House Bill 5 and Related Data TELECONFERENCED
Discussion by Dr. Troy Payne
-- Testimony <Invitation Only> --
+ SB 7 STATE TROOPER POLICIES: PUBLIC ACCESS TELECONFERENCED
Heard & Held
-- Public Testimony --
+ Bills Previously Heard/Scheduled TELECONFERENCED
+= HB 5 SEXUAL ASSAULT; DEF. OF "CONSENT" TELECONFERENCED
Heard & Held
             HB 5-SEXUAL ASSAULT; DEF. OF "CONSENT"                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
1:36:31 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR CLAMAN announced that the  first order of business would be                                                               
SPONSOR  SUBSTITUTE FOR  HOUSE BILL  NO. 5,  "An Act  relating to                                                               
sexual abuse of a minor;  relating to sexual assault; relating to                                                               
the code  of military justice;  relating to consent;  relating to                                                               
the  testing of  sexual assault  examination kits;  and providing                                                               
for  an effective  date."   He  stated  that there  would be  two                                                               
presentations on  data related  to HB 5.   [Before  the committee                                                               
was CSSSHB 5(STA).]                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
1:37:09 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
TROY PAYNE,  Ph.D., Director/Assistant Professor,  Alaska Justice                                                               
Information  Center  (AJiC),  College  of Health,  University  of                                                               
Alaska Anchorage, offered two  PowerPoints [in relation to CSSSHB
5(STA)].   He  began the  first PowerPoint,  titled  "FBI Uniform                                                               
Crime  Report Statistics"  [hard copy  included in  the committee                                                               
packet].    The  presentation  addressed the  Federal  Bureau  of                                                               
Investigation's  (FBI's) Uniform  Crime Reporting  Program (UCR),                                                               
and its definition  of rape.  He shared that  AJiC is an academic                                                               
research unit  which compiles, analyzes, and  reports on criminal                                                               
justice  topics to  policy  makers and  practitioners to  improve                                                               
public safety,  increase criminal justice  system accountability,                                                               
and reduce recidivism.   He stated that AJiC's specialty consists                                                               
of a wide variety of quantitative data analysis.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
1:39:24 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE,  pointing out slide 3,  stated that UCR  dates back to                                                               
the  1930s, when  a need  for reporting  crime statistics  in the                                                               
country had  been recognized.  To create  consistency in reports,                                                               
he said,  UCR has  specific definitions for  offenses.   He added                                                               
that these  definitions may be different from  the definitions in                                                               
state  statutes.   He explained  that UCR  can only  count crimes                                                               
known  to  the  police,  but  each  police  agency  has  its  own                                                               
classification  system  for  offenses.     He  said  that  police                                                               
agencies will  often report to  a state agency, which  reports to                                                               
the  FBI.   In  Alaska  police  statistics  are reported  to  the                                                               
Department  of Public  Safety (DPS),  and it  produces  an annual                                                               
report titled "Crime in Alaska."                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
1:41:29 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE, moving to slide 4, reiterated that UCR only includes                                                                 
crimes collected from  police reports.  He added  that the Alaska                                                               
Victimization Survey  (AVS) would include crimes  not reported to                                                               
the police.   Moving to [slide 5], he  explained that before 2013                                                               
the definition of  rape had been limited, and  the new definition                                                               
has been used in the presentation.   He quoted the FBI definition                                                               
of rape as  "penetration, no matter how slight, of  the vagina or                                                               
anus with any  body part or object, or oral  penetration by a sex                                                               
organ  of another  person, without  consent of  the victim."   He                                                               
continued  that  the  current definition  of  UCR  rape  includes                                                               
victims  of   either  gender,   specifics  of   penetration,  and                                                               
instances  of victims  being  incapable of  giving  consent.   He                                                               
stated  that physical  resistance on  part of  the victim  is not                                                               
required  to demonstrate  a  lack  of consent.    He stated  that                                                               
police  departments  train on  the  FBI's  user manual  and  gave                                                               
detailed examples.   He  concluded that  this definition  is much                                                               
more expansive than the prior definition.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
1:45:10 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR CLAMAN  offered the understanding  that the  current Alaska                                                               
definition  of rape  requires the  use of  force.   He questioned                                                               
whether  statistics collected  in  Alaska  would capture  conduct                                                               
which  meets  the  UCR  definition   of  rape,  even  though  the                                                               
prosecution may  not proceed with  a case because of  the absence                                                               
of force.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE responded  in the affirmative.  He  reiterated that UCR                                                               
definitions  are completely  different from  state statutes.   He                                                               
continued  that [UCR  statistics]  only  reflect information  the                                                               
police have,  not the prosecution  or the statute  the individual                                                               
is accused of violating.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  CLAMAN,  with  a follow-up  question,  asked  whether  UCR                                                               
statistics can determine the number  of cases in Alaska which are                                                               
declined because the definition [includes the use of force].                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE responded  that there is no way to  determine this from                                                               
the UCR  statistics alone.   He expressed the  understanding that                                                               
data  from police  departments and  the Department  of Law  (DOL)                                                               
would be needed.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
1:47:59 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE,  in reference to the  graph on [slide 5],  pointed out                                                               
that UCR calculates  rape crime numbers in terms of  the rate per                                                               
population of  100,000.  He  explained the calculation,  and said                                                               
it standardizes  the number of  offenses across the country.   He                                                               
drew  attention  to the  incorrect  assumption  that states  with                                                               
higher populations have  a higher number of offenses.   He argued                                                               
the UCR method produces a more comparable number.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
DR.  PAYNE,  using the  calculation,  pointed  out  the chart  on                                                               
[slide 6]  shows that Alaska's rate is  substantially higher than                                                               
the national  average.  He  described the difference  between the                                                               
national  average  and Alaska  as  "staggering."   He  referenced                                                               
several  things which  could influence  the rates,  including the                                                               
difference   in  reporting   between  states.     For   a  better                                                               
understanding, he encouraged  comparisons between state averages,                                                               
national averages, and victimization  surveys.  He suggested that                                                               
there could be  differences in the numbers on  the chart which do                                                               
not have a  tight connection to differences "on  the ground."  He                                                               
warned that the substantial  difference in Alaska's statistics is                                                               
very  unlikely  the  result   of  reporting  differences  in  the                                                               
country.  He stated  that [comparing] national averages using AVS                                                               
suggests the same [results].                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
1:50:53 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE DRUMMOND applied  the formula using the population                                                               
of  Alaska and  said  the rape  rate  would be  1,085 versus  the                                                               
national  rate of 266.   She  questioned whether  her estimations                                                               
were correct.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE responded  that this is roughly accurate,  but he would                                                               
follow up with the actual numbers at a later date.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
1:52:22 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE VANCE, comparing  Alaska's numbers to the national                                                               
average, noticed  that Alaska's numbers  vary over the  course of                                                               
the years, while the  national average remains relatively static.                                                               
She  questioned whether  there could  be factors  contributing to                                                               
the variation in Alaska's numbers.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
1:52:59 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE responded  that UCR does not have  good [data] on this.                                                               
He  explained that,  as a  matter  of pure  math, larger  numbers                                                               
would have  more variation.  He  said it is very  hard for counts                                                               
to hit zero, for example, the  lower a number goes, the harder it                                                               
is to change.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
1:53:29 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  VANCE,  with   a  follow-up  question,  clarified                                                               
Alaska's  rape rate  represents the  cases known  to police.   In                                                               
reference  to the inclusion  of force  in Alaska's  definition of                                                               
rape, she questioned whether the  state's [rate of rape] would be                                                               
higher without the use of force factored into the definition.                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE  responded that  UCR's definition  of rape  is explicit                                                               
that physical  resistance is not  required on part of  the victim                                                               
to demonstrate  lack of consent.   He expressed the  opinion that                                                               
there  would be  situations which  would classify  as rape  under                                                               
UCR's definition but not under  Alaska statutes.  He deferred the                                                               
question to DPS for offence classification guidance.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
1:55:53 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  CLAMAN  commented  that,  assuming  police  are  reporting                                                               
accurately to the FBI, the  Alaska statistics would include rapes                                                               
using  the UCR  definition;  thus, the  Alaska  rape rates  would                                                               
reflect  incidences reported  which  do not  include  the use  of                                                               
force.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE  answered in the  affirmative.  He cautioned  that this                                                               
is  assuming  agencies  classify  offences  following  the  FBI's                                                               
manual.  He continued that  DPS does periodic audits of agencies,                                                               
but DPS would  need to be questioned on its  process.  Typically,                                                               
agencies  spend  a  good  amount  of effort  and  staff  time  to                                                               
classify the offenses correctly.   He allowed that mistakes could                                                               
happen,  and   consistent  counting  is  difficult   for  smaller                                                               
agencies.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
1:57:43 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE VANCE requested that DPS speak to this.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
1:58:19 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
KELLY  HOWELL, Special  Assistant,  Office  of the  Commissioner,                                                               
Alaska  Department of  Public Safety,  deferred  the question  to                                                               
Lisa Purinton.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
1:59:19 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE KURKA  pointed out [on  slide 6] the rate  of rape                                                               
in 2014 for Alaska was substantially  less than the rates in 2018                                                               
or  2020.    He  described  it as  "a  dip"  and  questioned  its                                                               
occurrence.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
1:59:46 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE  stated that  he has no  insight into  this occurrence.                                                               
He stated  that there  is an expectation  for a variation  in any                                                               
time  series [in  analysis], and  it  would be  difficult to  say                                                               
anything specific about  a one-year change.  He  advised that, in                                                               
an academic  sense, a one-year  change usually does  not indicate                                                               
much.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  CLAMAN restated Representative  Vance's question  for Lisa                                                               
Purinton.    He pointed  out  the  question  had been  about  the                                                               
differences in the  definition of rape in regard  to the accuracy                                                               
of data reported by the state to the FBI.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
2:01:03 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
LISA  PURINTON,   Chief,  Criminal  Records   and  Identification                                                               
Bureau,  Alaska  Department of  Public  Safety,  stated that  the                                                               
bureau manages the state's crime  reporting program.  Part of the                                                               
program is  annual training on the differences  between the FBI's                                                               
definitions  for offenses  versus  the state's  definitions.   In                                                               
order  to  understand national  trends  and  have  an "apples  to                                                               
apples" comparison among states,  she said, the FBI's definitions                                                               
have to be followed.  She  explained that the FBI audits the data                                                               
every  three  years, while  the  state  audits  every two  years;                                                               
however,  audits have  not  been  done in  the  last three  years                                                               
because of  a reporting format change.   She stated  that in 2021                                                               
the  FBI stopped accepting  the summary  format and  only accepts                                                               
reporting  done  under   the  National  Incident-Based  Reporting                                                               
System (NIVRS).  She said  NIVRS produces more robust data, as it                                                               
breaks  out the data  fields in  more detail.   She  stated that,                                                               
previous to the format change,  the audits had made sure agencies                                                               
were following the FBI guidelines per the definition of rape.                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
2:03:22 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  VANCE,  with a  follow-up  question, pointed  out                                                               
that  [slide 6]  shows  the rate  of  rape in  2020  as 155  [per                                                               
population of  100,000].  She  questioned whether the  number DPS                                                               
reports to prosecutors would be lower.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MS.  PURINTON responded  that  in the  investigative process  DPS                                                               
would follow  the state's  law for reporting  a sex  offense, not                                                               
the  FBI's definition.     She expressed  the  understanding that                                                               
because the  FBI's definition is broader than  the state statute,                                                               
DPS reports  would probably show  a lower number of  sex offences                                                               
than [UCR].                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
2:04:28 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS.  PURINTON,  in response  to  Chair  Claman, stated  that  DPS                                                               
collects  two types  of crime  statistics: UCR  data and  felony-                                                               
level  sex offense  data.   She added  that the  felony-level sex                                                               
offense database  follows the state  definition of a  sex offense                                                               
and would only  include felony sex offenses.   She catalogued the                                                               
[collected] data as:  what was reported to  law enforcement, what                                                               
was referred to  the prosecutor's office, and  what actually came                                                               
out of  the referral to the  prosecutor's office.  In  respect to                                                               
this, she  said, "Right  now we  just have the  front end  of the                                                               
data.    This  is  the  information which  was  reported  to  law                                                               
enforcement."   She stated  that DPS is  developing a  project to                                                               
work  with DOL  to capture  the  life cycle  of felony-level  sex                                                               
crimes.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
2:06:03 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE,  adding a comment  to [Ms. Purinton's  response], said                                                               
it would  be too difficult to  trace the entire course  of a case                                                               
and  produce the  statistics  concerning  referrals versus  cases                                                               
accepted  for prosecution.    He added  this  has been  difficult                                                               
across  the  country.    He   expressed  the  opinion  that  this                                                               
information is  important and  said, "So it's  good to  hear that                                                               
DPS and DOL are both looking at it."                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
2:06:52 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE  moved to the graph  on the last slide,  which compares                                                               
states with similar demographics to  Alaska.  He pointed out that                                                               
these   states  have   high   indigenous  populations;   however,                                                               
demographically, they  are very different from  Alaska, and their                                                               
rape rates  are closer to the  national average.  He  pointed out                                                               
that the state with the next  highest rape rate in the country is                                                               
one  half of  the rate  in Alaska.   He  voiced the  opinion that                                                               
because  of the  large difference,  it  is unlikely  there is  an                                                               
issue  with the  data.    He stated  that  this  tracks with  the                                                               
information from AVS.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
2:08:44 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN expressed  the understanding  that Alaska                                                               
only  deals  with  crimes  reported   to  police  agencies.    He                                                               
questioned  whether Alaska  would  be considered  much better  or                                                               
much worse at reporting crimes.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE expressed  the understanding that Alaska is  worse.  He                                                               
explained that AVS  is a survey of  respondents where individuals                                                               
are questioned,  and rates  are calculated from  their responses.                                                               
He stated  that AVS  has nothing to  do with police  reports, and                                                               
its  results show  substantially  higher [rape]  rates in  Alaska                                                               
compared to the national averages.   He remarked, even if some of                                                               
the differences in UCR rates  were the result of better reporting                                                               
to the police, this is not the entire explanation.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
2:10:13 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE,  in response to  a follow-up question, stated  that he                                                               
does not have  a theory for the reason  that the national average                                                               
of rape is  going down while Alaska's rate is going  up.  He said                                                               
there  are many  complicated  factors which  contribute to  crime                                                               
trends, and  it would be  difficult to parse  this out.   He said                                                               
there is not a quick, "off-the-top of my head" explanation.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
2:11:07 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR CLAMAN  expressed the understanding that  the pre-2013 data                                                               
was  not  being  presented  because   of  a  change  in  the  UCR                                                               
definition  of rape.   He  questioned  whether there  had been  a                                                               
significant  increase in  the rate  of rape  relative to  the new                                                               
definition.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
DR.  PAYNE responded  that  the rate  is substantially  different                                                               
with the  new definition, to  the point that "it  feels dishonest                                                               
to put  them on the  same plot."   He explained that this  is the                                                               
reason the  graph is limited  to 2013.   He further said  that as                                                               
late as  the 1970s, Alaska's rates have  been consistently higher                                                               
than   national  averages,   even  under   the   old  definition;                                                               
therefore, this is not just  a function of the definition change.                                                               
He stated that Alaska  has remained higher than national averages                                                               
under UCR  rape counts  for the entirety  of data available.   He                                                               
reiterated  that the  graph  represents the  new definition  from                                                               
2013 to 2020, while the old definition would go back to 1979.                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
DR.  PAYNE,  in  response  to  a follow-up  question  from  Chair                                                               
Claman,  stated  that  there  had  been  a  similar  increase  in                                                               
national averages from the  definition change.  He attributed the                                                               
increase to the limitations in  the old definition.  For example,                                                               
he  said,  the  old  definition  of  rape  only  included  sexual                                                               
intercourse  between  a female  and  a  male,  while the  current                                                               
definition includes  new classes of  victims and acts.   When the                                                               
definition changed in 2013,  and through the transition period to                                                               
2016,  substantial  increases  had  been  seen  in  the  national                                                               
average.    He  noted  that  in  any  UCR  presentation  of  rape                                                               
statistics, there is a hard  break with prior years.  Referencing                                                               
an earlier  question, he  suggested that the  reason for  some of                                                               
the  volatility in  the 2014  numbers  could be  because of  this                                                               
transition.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
2:14:58 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR.  PAYNE  began  his  second  PowerPoint  presentation,  titled                                                               
"Estimating  the  Impact  of  HB   5's  Proposed  Changes  to  AS                                                               
11.41.436(a)  and  AS  11.41.438"  [hard  copy  included  in  the                                                               
committee packet].   The presentation  focused on an  analysis of                                                               
the potential  impacts of  [CSSSHB 5(STA)].   He stated  that the                                                               
analysis   was  requested   by   the   Alaska  Criminal   Justice                                                               
Commission.     He  stated  that,  per   statute,  AJiC  provides                                                               
technical  assistance to  the commission  and has  access to  its                                                               
data.    On  slide  4,  he   pointed  out  that  the  effects  of                                                               
criminalizing  behavior  that  is   currently  lawful  cannot  be                                                               
estimated, and  this created a  limitation for the analysis.   In                                                               
example,  he pointed  out the  proposed legislation  would change                                                               
the  definition of  consent, and,  in terms  of criminal  justice                                                               
outcomes,  this  change  cannot be  estimated;  however,  because                                                               
there  was  available  data,  the  results  of  implementing  the                                                               
proposed changes in Section 3 and Section 4 could be estimated.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
2:17:48 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE stated  that a grid [seen on slide  6] had been created                                                               
to demonstrate the  proposed changes in Section 3  and Section 4.                                                               
He said  Section 3  would increase  the punishment  for offenders                                                               
who are 18 years  old, or older, and who are  10 years older than                                                               
victims 13,  14, or 15  years of age.   The felony  charges would                                                               
increase  from a  minimum 5-year  sentence to  a minimum  20-year                                                               
sentence.    This  section  would  also  criminalize  the  sexual                                                               
penetration of 16-  and 17-year-old victims by  offenders who are                                                               
at least  10 years  older than  the victim.   He stated  that the                                                               
grid represents a visualization of  the comparison of the current                                                               
law with  the proposed  changes.   He added  that incest  and the                                                               
abuse  of  authority  are  already covered  by  statute  and  not                                                               
included  in the  legislation.   He continued  that the  proposed                                                               
changes  would  create  unclassified  felonies for  some  of  the                                                               
offenses.    He  described  unclassified  felonies  as  the  most                                                               
serious felonies in the state.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
2:21:17 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR.  PAYNE stated  that one  of the  large, overall  findings for                                                               
AJiC  was the  complexity  of the  intersection  of the  existing                                                               
statute with the  proposed changes.  He stated that  this was the                                                               
purpose  of  the grid.    He provided  a  memo  [included in  the                                                               
committee packet] which explains this in detail.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
2:22:07 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN,  referencing   slide  6,  expressed  the                                                               
understanding  that consensual sex  between a  17-year-old person                                                               
and a  perpetrator [who  is 10 years  older than that  person] is                                                               
currently legal.  He  questioned whether the proposed legislation                                                               
would change the [act] to be the same class of felony as murder.                                                                
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE responded in the affirmative.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
2:22:50 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR.  PAYNE moved  to slide  7.   He  pointed out  the changes  in                                                               
Section  4  are  similar  to  the  changes in  Section  3.    The                                                               
difference,  he said,  is  Section 4  refers  to sexual  contact,                                                               
while Section  3 refers  to sexual penetration.   He  stated that                                                               
the  language  and  the  escalation  of the  penalties  are  very                                                               
similar, but the  penalties for sexual contact are  less than the                                                               
penalties for  sexual penetration.   He pointed out  the proposed                                                               
changes in Section 4 are shown in the grid on slide 8.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
2:24:59 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE,  moving to  slide 9, stated  that the  Alaska Criminal                                                               
Justice  Commission  had  requested  information  concerning  the                                                               
impacts on  criminal justice  outcomes.  He  stated that  DPS had                                                               
supplied  AJiC with  charge-level data  for every  arrest  in the                                                               
state, and AJiC estimated sentences  based on this.  He said that                                                               
there  were data  limitations in  the analysis.   In  example, he                                                               
said, there was no  information concerning whether sentences with                                                               
multiple convictions  were ordered to be  served consecutively or                                                               
concurrently.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE, moving to  [slide 10], explained that another limiting                                                               
factor in the analysis  was the unavailability of data concerning                                                               
the  reduction  of  a  sentence  because  of  a  prisoner's  good                                                               
behavior.   He clarified that the  time ordered by  the judge was                                                               
used in the  analysis, not the actual amount of  time served.  He                                                               
said  another assumption made  was that  the sentence  length was                                                               
the  only variable  in criminal  processing.   He  explained that                                                               
this  excluded  the  effects  of  the decisions  made  by  actors                                                               
involved   in   cases,   including  victims,   police   officers,                                                               
prosecutors,  courts,  and  juries.   He  suggested  that  felony                                                               
classifications  could cause  each actor  involved in  a  case to                                                               
make a different  decision, but there is no way  of knowing this;                                                               
thus, the  assumption in the  analysis was made that  every actor                                                               
made  the  same  decision.    He  added  that  the  data  sources                                                               
available to AJiC  have no information on victims.   He said this                                                               
is good for  privacy, but because part of the  equation has to do                                                               
with  the  age  of  the  victim, it  is  bad  for  the  analysis.                                                               
Considering the limitations,  he expressed the hope  that some of                                                               
the estimations may be useful.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
2:29:16 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR.  PAYNE, moving  to [slide  11], stated  that an  estimated 42                                                               
percent of the  cases from 2015 to 2019 would  have been impacted                                                               
by the proposed  legislation.  He discussed the  variables in the                                                               
data which could impact cases, such  as the use of force, the age                                                               
differential,  sexual  contact,  sexual penetration,  and  victim                                                               
trauma.   He reiterated that  all the  decisions made by  all the                                                               
actors in a case are complex.   He acknowledged that the analysis                                                               
simplifies many of these aspects.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
2:31:57 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE DRUMMOND  questioned whether the offenders  in the                                                               
impacted  cases would  have had  longer jail  sentences [per  the                                                               
proposed legislation].                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE  responded that  if the  proposed legislation  had been                                                               
active [from  2015 to  2019], the  offenders' ordered  time would                                                               
have increased about  500 years [over 5 years], as  seen on slide                                                               
12.                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
2:34:07 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  DRUMMOND, with  a follow  up, said,  "One hundred                                                               
years of  extra prison  time doesn't  mean anything  to me."   In                                                               
consideration  of  the recent  increase  in  the budget  for  the                                                               
Department  of Corrections  (DOC), she  questioned the  number of                                                               
offenders who would be staying in prison longer.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE  responded that 100  years of additional time  would be                                                               
spread  among 20-  to  40-cases  per year.    He reiterated  that                                                               
assumptions were made because victim data was unavailable.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
2:35:54 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  CLAMAN estimated  that,  using the  numbers provided,  the                                                               
proposed  legislation  would   increase  incarceration  time  per                                                               
person by about three years.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
2:36:28 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN commented that  time off for good behavior                                                               
"seems pretty standard."  He  questioned the inclusion of this in                                                               
the data.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE  responded that  the calculation of  time off  for good                                                               
behavior is complex, and he  would need to refer to legal experts                                                               
for this  information.  He  expressed the understanding  that the                                                               
impact of  "good time"  on actual  days served can  be up  to one                                                               
third of  an offender's sentence,  but this would not  accrue for                                                               
unclassified  felonies, because  time  for unclassified  felonies                                                               
cannot be reduced.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
2:38:25 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR CLAMAN, with a follow-up  comment, stated that time off for                                                               
good behavior for sex crimes is different from other crimes.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
2:38:36 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  KREISS-TOMKINS  expressed  the opinion  that  the                                                               
primary  question should  concern solving  the epidemic  of rape.                                                               
He  questioned   whether  enhancing  the   criminalization  would                                                               
actually reduce the occurrence of  rape.  He questioned whether a                                                               
cause-and-effect  relationship  has  been  addressed  in  similar                                                               
legislation in other states.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
2:39:42 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR.  PAYNE   responded  that  the  question   is  important,  but                                                               
difficult.  He stated  that, generally, research has found longer                                                               
prison terms do not affect recidivism.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
2:42:05 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  pointed out  that crime would  be reduced                                                               
for the period the [convicted] individual is in prison.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE  replied in  agreement and said  once an  individual is                                                               
inside  prison, he/she  generally  would not  be  able to  commit                                                               
crimes outside  of the correctional facility.   He continued that                                                               
the question  would be,  "What happens after?"   He  stated there                                                               
are decades of research which  point out that longer prison terms                                                               
do  not result  in fewer  crimes.   He offered  the understanding                                                               
that  cognitive-behavioral   programs  tend  to  work,   and,  in                                                               
general, incarcerating people  for a longer term  does not reduce                                                               
recidivism.  He  said this runs counter to what  "I would like to                                                               
believe as well,"  and it took many years of  research to believe                                                               
otherwise.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
2:44:07 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DR.  PAYNE moved  to [slide  13]  and summarized  the impacts  of                                                               
[CSSSHB  5(STA)] on  criminal justice  in Alaska.   He  cautioned                                                               
that changing  a crime  to an unclassified  felony could  incur a                                                               
series of different  decisions on the part of  actors involved in                                                               
the case.  He  added that a result of this may  be an increase in                                                               
prosecution  and personnel  costs.   He said  this is  not easily                                                               
estimated but a reasonable assumption.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
2:45:18 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN pointed out  that individuals of a certain                                                               
age,  such as  senior citizens,  would be  less likely  to commit                                                               
crimes after release from prison.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
DR. PAYNE  responded that in general  this would be correct.   He                                                               
expressed the opinion that the  question is difficult because the                                                               
answer  would involve  a cost-benefit  analysis.   He offered  to                                                               
follow up with information at a later time.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
2:46:12 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  DRUMMOND,   referencing  DOC's   expenditures  on                                                               
additional [programs]  for sex  offenders, expressed  the opinion                                                               
that implementing  [CSSSHB 5(STA)]  would "keep more  rapists off                                                               
the street for longer."                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
[HB 5 was held over.]                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                

Document Name Date/Time Subjects
Memo to Alaska Criminal Justice Commission re House Bill 5 8.12.2021.pdf HJUD 4/13/2022 1:00:00 PM
FBI Uniform Crime Report Rape Statistics Presentation to HJUD Committee 4.13.2022.pdf HJUD 4/13/2022 1:00:00 PM
Estimating the Impact of House Bill 5’s Proposed Changes Presentation to HJUD Committee 4.13.2022.pdf HJUD 4/13/2022 1:00:00 PM
SB 7 v. B 2.18.2022.PDF HJUD 4/13/2022 1:00:00 PM
HJUD 4/25/2022 1:00:00 PM
SB 7
SB 7 Sponsor Statement v. B.pdf HJUD 4/13/2022 1:00:00 PM
HJUD 4/25/2022 1:00:00 PM
HSTA 3/17/2022 3:00:00 PM
SB 7
SB 7 Sectional Analysis v. B.pdf HJUD 4/13/2022 1:00:00 PM
HJUD 4/25/2022 1:00:00 PM
HSTA 3/17/2022 3:00:00 PM
SB 7
SB 7 Explanation of Changes v. A to v. B.pdf HJUD 4/13/2022 1:00:00 PM
HJUD 4/25/2022 1:00:00 PM
HSTA 3/17/2022 3:00:00 PM
SB 7
SB 7 Supporting Document - APD and California Peace Officers Association Policies and Procedures 1.26.2021.pdf HJUD 4/13/2022 1:00:00 PM
HJUD 4/25/2022 1:00:00 PM
HSTA 3/17/2022 3:00:00 PM
SB 7
SB 7 Supporting Document - Letters Received by 4.12.2022.pdf HJUD 4/13/2022 1:00:00 PM
HJUD 4/25/2022 1:00:00 PM
HSTA 3/17/2022 3:00:00 PM
SB 7
SB 7 Supporting Document - Testimony Received by 4.12.2022.pdf HJUD 4/13/2022 1:00:00 PM
HJUD 4/25/2022 1:00:00 PM
HSTA 3/31/2022 3:00:00 PM
SB 7
SB 7 Fiscal Note DPS-DET 2.18.2022.pdf HJUD 4/13/2022 1:00:00 PM
HJUD 4/25/2022 1:00:00 PM
SB 7